The Exceltur tourism outlook survey forecasts that Galician tourism will return to pre-pandemic turnover figures.
The good evolution that the Galician tourism sector has experienced during 2021, standing 22 points above the national average in terms of recovery of demand prior to the covid pandemic, will continue during 2022. This is what can be deduced from the report on the tourism situation in which Exceltur makes its assessment of the 2021 financial year and sets out the prospects for the year that has just begun.
According to the document made public in recent days, Galicia was in second place last year in the ranking by autonomous regions with a turnover in the tourism sector 18.7% lower than in 2019, with Asturias being the only community whose percentage drop in revenue was lower (17.1%). Communities such as Madrid and Catalonia were placed with decreases in turnover of more than 50 %. For 2022, the forecast is that the Galician tourism sector will improve these figures to just a few tenths (-0.3%) of the turnover recorded during that 2019 prior to covid.
Castilla y León (-2 %), Extremadura (-2.8 %), Navarra (-3.5 %), Asturias (-4.9 %) and Cantabria (-7.3 %) follow Galicia in a ranking forecast for 2022 and which those responsible for the Exceltur report attribute to the better response of domestic demand in inland destinations and northern Spain. The added impetus provided by the continuation of the Holy Year Xacobeo 21-22 is what will allow Galicia to take a new step forward to position itself at the top of the ranking for the recovery of demand.
The report shows that 51.2% of the Galician tourism entrepreneurs surveyed expect that the recovery of the pre-pandemic turnover volume will take place during the third quarter of this year. A 4.3% are more optimistic and place it in the second quarter, while for 21.7% will have to wait until the second half of 2023 to return to the figures of 2019 and for 17.4% that horizon is even further away: in the year 2024. On the other hand, in the case of Spanish tourism businesses as a whole, only 30.4% of those surveyed estimate that the recovery will take place in the third quarter of this year, while 16.7% delay it to the fourth quarter and 41.9% to the 2023.